How do I make a prediction on Elopis?

Pick an outcome, enter how much you want to stake, and confirm. Your order is matched with other people on the order book at the current price. Add money to your wallet with M-Pesa.

When and how is this event decided?

Trading closes on 16 Oct 2026. After the result is known, the event is decided using the source listed in the Rules tab. Winning shares pay out in full; losing shares pay nothing.

What fees does Elopis charge?

A 2.0% platform fee is charged per trade, and a small part is shared with the person who created the event. There are no hidden spreads: the price you see is the price you pay.

Can I sell before the event is decided?

Yes. You can sell any time while the event is open. Sell some or all of your shares at the current price to take profit or cut a loss before the result.

Cryptobitcoin

Bitcoin 5M — Up or Down?

Outcome: Yes

Resolved 16 October 2026Decided by coinbase.com

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Resolves YES (Up) if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at close is STRICTLY greater than the reference price of $80,994.85 captured at open; otherwise NO (Down). A flat price settles NO.

Resolution source: coinbase.com

Market details

Volume: KSh 0
End Date: Oct 16, 2026
Market Opened: Oct 16, 2026, 7:05 pm
Resolver: coinbase.com

Frequently Asked Questions

This is a Yes/No prediction. The price of Yes shows the market's estimated chance of it happening. A price of 65 means about a 65% chance. Buying Yes wins if it happens; buying No wins if it does not.

Resolved

This market has settled. No new positions can be opened.

Best major crypto in H2 2026?35%Bitcoin

Bitcoin above $75k in 2026?38%

Ethereum above $2,500 in 2026?35%

XRP above $2 in 2026?28%BDBitcoin 1H — Up or Down?50%BDBitcoin 15M — Up or Down?50%

Bitcoin 5M — Up or Down?

Market details

Frequently Asked Questions

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