How do I make a prediction on Elopis?

Pick an outcome, enter how much you want to stake, and confirm. Your order is matched with other people on the order book at the current price. Add money to your wallet with M-Pesa.

When and how is this event decided?

Trading closes on 17 Oct 2026. After the result is known, the event is decided using the source listed in the Rules tab. Winning shares pay out in full; losing shares pay nothing.

What fees does Elopis charge?

A 2.0% platform fee is charged per trade, and a small part is shared with the person who created the event. There are no hidden spreads: the price you see is the price you pay.

Can I sell before the event is decided?

Yes. You can sell any time while the event is open. Sell some or all of your shares at the current price to take profit or cut a loss before the result.

Cryptobitcoin

Bitcoin 5M — Up or Down?

Outcome: No

Resolved 17 October 2026Decided by coinbase.com

Loading BTC chart…

1 option

Chance

Bitcoin above $81,513.49 at 20:00 UTC

50%

Lost

Resolves YES (Up) if the 60-second time-weighted average Coinbase BTC-USD price at close is STRICTLY greater than the reference price of $81,513.49 captured at open; otherwise NO (Down). A flat price settles NO.

Resolution source: coinbase.com

Market details

Volume: KSh 0
End Date: Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened: Oct 17, 2026, 7:55 pm
Resolver: coinbase.com

Frequently Asked Questions

This is a multiple-choice prediction with 1 possible outcomes. Each outcome trades as its own chance between 0% and 100%; you buy shares in the outcome you believe is most likely.

Resolved

This market has settled. No new positions can be opened.

Best major crypto in H2 2026?35%Bitcoin

Bitcoin above $75k in 2026?38%

Ethereum above $2,500 in 2026?35%

XRP above $2 in 2026?28%BDBitcoin 5M — Up or Down?50%Bitcoin above $81,117.12 at 22:10 UTC BDBitcoin 1H — Up or Down?50%Bitcoin above $81,014.18 at 23:00 UTC

Bitcoin 5M — Up or Down?

1 option

Market details

Frequently Asked Questions

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