How do I make a prediction on Elopis?

Pick an outcome, enter how much you want to stake, and confirm. Your order is matched with other people on the order book at the current price. Add money to your wallet with M-Pesa.

When and how is this event decided?

Trading closes on 18 Oct 2026. After the result is known, the event is decided using the source listed in the Rules tab. Winning shares pay out in full; losing shares pay nothing.

What fees does Elopis charge?

A 2.0% platform fee is charged per trade, and a small part is shared with the person who created the event. There are no hidden spreads: the price you see is the price you pay.

Can I sell before the event is decided?

Yes. You can sell any time while the event is open. Sell some or all of your shares at the current price to take profit or cut a loss before the result.

Cryptobitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down 5M

Outcome: No

Resolved 18 October 2026Decided by coinbase.com

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Resolves YES (Up) if the 60-second time-weighted average Coinbase BTC-USD price at close is STRICTLY greater than the reference price of $81,634.80 captured at open; otherwise NO (Down). A flat price settles NO.

Resolution source: coinbase.com

Market details

Volume: KSh 0
End Date: Oct 18, 2026, 7:15 am UTC
Market Opened: Oct 18, 2026, 7:10 am UTC
Resolver: coinbase.com

Frequently Asked Questions

This is a multiple-choice prediction with 1 possible outcomes. Each outcome trades as its own chance between 0% and 100%; you buy shares in the outcome you believe is most likely.

Resolved

This market has settled. No new positions can be opened.

Best major crypto in H2 2026?35%Bitcoin Bitcoin above $75k in 2026?38%

Ethereum above $2,500 in 2026?35%

XRP above $2 in 2026?28%Bitcoin Up or Down 15M1%Bitcoin above $81,586.95 at 08:45 UTC

Bitcoin Up or Down 5M

Market details

Frequently Asked Questions

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