How do I make a prediction on Elopis?

Pick an outcome, enter how much you want to stake, and confirm. Your order is matched with other people on the order book at the current price. Add money to your wallet with M-Pesa.

When and how is this event decided?

Trading closes on 30 Apr 2027. After the result is known, the event is decided using the source listed in the Rules tab. Winning shares pay out in full; losing shares pay nothing.

What fees does Elopis charge?

A 2.0% platform fee is charged per trade, and a small part is shared with the person who created the event. There are no hidden spreads: the price you see is the price you pay.

Can I sell before the event is decided?

Yes. You can sell any time while the event is open. Sell some or all of your shares at the current price to take profit or cut a loss before the result.

Electionskenya

Opposition flagbearer for 2027?

Loading outcomes chart…

5 options

Chance

Rigathi Gachagua

KSh 5.5M Vol.

40%4.2

Kalonzo Musyoka

KSh 2.2M Vol.

24%3.3

Fred Matiang'i

KSh 2.2M Vol.

20%3.7

Martha Karua

KSh 384.8K Vol.

10%2.5

Eugene Wamalwa

KSh 648.4K Vol.

6%0.4

Resolves to the person unveiled as the joint opposition presidential flagbearer for 2027 (major-media confirmed).

Market details

Volume: KSh 12,041,839
End Date: Apr 30, 2027
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 11:07 pm
Resolver: Zrinok

Frequently Asked Questions

This is a multiple-choice prediction with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome trades as its own chance between 0% and 100%; you buy shares in the outcome you believe is most likely.