How do I make a prediction on Elopis?

Pick a side, type how much you want to put in, and confirm. Before you confirm you see what leaves your wallet and what comes back if you are right. Add money with M-Pesa.

When and how is this event decided?

Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026. After the result is known, the event is decided using the source listed in the Rules tab. If you are right you get back more than you put in. If you are wrong you get back nothing.

What fees does Elopis charge?

One fee, and only when you take a price that is already there. It is never more than 4% of what you put in, and you see it before you confirm. Part of it goes to the person on the other side of your trade and a small part to whoever created the event. The rest is ours. Separately, the price to buy is always a little above the price to sell, and you can see both in the order book.

Can I sell before the event is decided?

Yes. You can sell any time while the event is open. Sell any part of what you hold at the current price, which may be more or less than you paid.

Technologykenya

Most-used app in Kenya, end of 2026?

Loading outcomes chart…

5 options

Chance

KSh 6.0M Vol.

40%2.1

TikTok

KSh 4.1M Vol.

30%14.0

Facebook

KSh 1.8M Vol.

15%8.9

Instagram

KSh 426.1K Vol.

9%3.0

KSh 276.8K Vol.

Resolves to the app ranked #1 by monthly active users in Kenya per a reputable 2026 year-end analytics report.

Market details

Volume: KSh 13,818,116
End Date: Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 am UTC
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 11:07 pm UTC
Resolver: Zrinok

Frequently Asked Questions

This is a multiple-choice prediction with 5 possible outcomes. Each one has its own chance between 0% and 100%. You put money on the outcome you think will happen.